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Charted: How Companies Die

Macro Discovery
On: October 6, 2026 7:08 AM
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Charted: How Companies Die | Macro Discovery
Charted · Companies · Fortune 2024 · Innosight 2021

How Companies Die

The average Fortune 500 company lasts 15 years. Here is why they disappear.

That line is an S&P 500 index-tenure forecast, not company life. Fortune put the 2024 average age at 83 years.

83 yrsAverage Fortune 500 age, 2024 · not 15
491955 names still on the 2024 list
15–20S&P 500 tenure forecast, years · not death
A dark-mode premium editorial vertical timeline shows six flat-vector tombstone milestones alternating left and right — the deep blue 75-year tombstone largest in 1955, decreasing through 67 years in 1965, 40 years in 1980, 20 years in 2000 in deep red, the amber 15-year tombstone glowing at 2025, and a deep red 12-year projected tombstone for 2030 — with a cracked building micro-illustration, hourglass conceptual flourish, teal pill source badge, and four dark data cards on disruption causes, Blockbuster and Kodak, S&P 500 churn, and centennial survivors. Charted: How Companies Die.

Three numbers

  • 83 years — average age of a Fortune 500 company in 2024, from founding. Source: Fortune.
  • 49 — companies from the first 1955 list still on the 2024 list. Source: Fortune.
  • 15–20 years — Innosight’s forecast of average tenure on the S&P 500 this decade. Index tenure, not firm death. Source: Innosight.

What the data shows

A common claim is that the average Fortune 500 company lasts 15 years. The fact is that figure is not company age, and it is not the Fortune 500. Fortune put the average age of a company on the 2024 list at 83 years. The oldest, Molson Coors, was founded in 1774. The youngest, GXO Logistics, was a 2021 spinoff, three years old. Age and list rank are different counts.

The 15-year line comes from Innosight’s work on the S&P 500, a market-value index, not a revenue list. Innosight’s 2021 forecast said the 30- to 35-year average tenure of the late 1970s would shrink to 15 to 20 years this decade. An earlier briefing put tenure at 33 years in 1965, 20 years in 1990, and a forecast of 14 years by 2026. A 2012 note, using a seven-year rolling average, put 1958 tenure at 61 years and the then-current figure at 18. These are years in the index. A firm leaves if its market value falls below the cutoff, or if it is bought.

Leaving the Fortune 500 is also not a death. The list ranks U.S. companies by revenue. Fortune reported that 49 of the 1955 names were still on the 2024 list. The rest merged, fell below the revenue cutoff, were renamed or split, or failed. Exxon and Mobil left as separate names and remained as Exxon Mobil. General Electric split. Bankruptcy is one path. It is not the definition of the 15-year figure.

Years: company age versus index tenure
Fortune 500 age, 2024 83 S&P tenure, late 1970s 30–35 S&P tenure forecast 15–20 Scale: 83 years = full bar. The 15-year viral line is the low end of the forecast, not company age.

Age is years since founding. Tenure is years in the S&P 500. They are not the same clock.

CountFigureWhat it is
Fortune 500 average age, 202483 yearsFrom founding. Not years on the list
1955 names still listed, 202449 of 500Still large enough by revenue
S&P tenure, late 1970s30–35 yearsYears in the index. Innosight
S&P tenure forecast, this decade15–20 yearsForecast. Not a death count
New establishments, 5 years51% still openBLS, March 2020 cohort. Not Fortune 500

How it was measured

The Fortune 500 ranks U.S. companies by annual revenue. A company can be old and new to the list, or young and already on it. DoorDash, founded in 2013, made the 2024 list. A firm founded in 1859 made it in the same year. Innosight measures how long a name stays in the S&P 500, then fits a trend. The 15-year figure is the low end of a forecast range, not an average of closed firms.

Small-firm survival is a third count, often mixed in. Bureau of Labor Statistics establishment tables, observed in March 2025, show 77.9% of the March 2024 birth cohort still open after one year, and 51.4% of the March 2020 cohort still open after five years. An establishment is a location with jobs. Closing one is not a Fortune 500 bankruptcy.

What it means

It is settled that the 2024 Fortune 500 is old on average, that only 49 of the 1955 names are still listed, and that S&P 500 tenure is shorter than it was in the 1970s. It is not settled that the average Fortune 500 company dies at 15. Use 83 years for age. Use 49 for list survival since 1955. Use 15 to 20 years only as Innosight’s index-tenure forecast. Do not use 15 years as a lifespan.

Common misreadings

  • This figure is not Fortune 500 age. It is a forecast of years in the S&P 500.
  • Leaving a list is not closing. A merger, a spinoff, or a revenue drop all remove a name.
  • The five-year small-business rate is not the Fortune 500 rate. BLS counts establishments.

Where the numbers come from

Fortune Primary · 2024
Fortune 500 age, class of 2024
Average age 83 years. Youngest: GXO Logistics, a 2021 spinoff. Oldest: Molson Coors, founded 1774.
View →
Fortune Primary · 2024
70th edition and the class of 1955
49 of the original 1955 companies were still on the 2024 list. The list is rank by revenue, not a death register.
View →
Innosight Primary · 2021
Corporate longevity forecast
Late-1970s S&P 500 tenure of 30 to 35 years forecast to shrink to 15 to 20 years this decade. Exits are a market-value drop or an acquisition.
View →
BLS Primary · 2025
Business Employment Dynamics, survival
March 2024 cohort: 77.9% open after one year. March 2020 cohort: 51.4% open after five years. Establishments, not Fortune 500 firms.
View →

How we built this

  • Dataset: Fortune 2024 list notes; Innosight 2016 and 2021 S&P 500 tenure series; BLS establishment survival tables observed in March 2025.
  • Scope: U.S. large-company lists. Private firms and non-U.S. lists excluded. Small-firm survival shown only as a contrast.
  • Figures: 83 is age from founding. 49 is names still ranked. 15 to 20 is a forecast of index tenure, not an average of closed companies.

Common questions

No. Fortune put the average age of a Fortune 500 company in 2024 at 83 years, measured from founding. The 15-year line comes from Innosight’s forecast that average tenure on the S&P 500, a market-value index, would shrink to 15 to 20 years this decade. Leaving an index is not the same as the firm closing.
Fortune reported that 49 of the companies on the first list, in 1955, were still on the 2024 list. Falling off the list can mean a merger, a revenue drop below the cutoff, a rename, or a failure. It is not a count of bankruptcies.
The list ranks U.S. companies by revenue. A firm leaves if revenue falls below the cutoff, if it is bought, or if it is split or renamed. Innosight’s S&P 500 exits are a drop in market value or an acquisition. Bankruptcy is one path, not the main definition of the 15-year figure.

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Sukh Dhaliwal

Sukh Dhaliwal is the founder of Macro Discovery, an independent digital publication covering AI, technology, science, future trends, and global innovation through visual storytelling and data-driven analysis.

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